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Will Roger out-do Tiger?



Common question, with a common answer. Roger Federer has one less major than Tiger Woods, but can Roger finish with more major trophies than the chosen one?

Don’t be silly. No chance, right?

Don’t be so sure.

Tiger is already ahead thirteen majors to twelve. Tick. As a golfer, Tiger may have another twenty years ahead of him, while Roger is 26, bordering on veteran status in a sport that has gruelling physical demands. Tick.

Doesn’t necessarily mean Tiger will finish with more.

It’s far easier to guess how many majors Federer will walk away with. He doesn’t win French Opens. He wins the rest. Taking Roland Garros out of the picture, Federer has won 11 of the last 12. Who is going to beat him? Nadal, Djokovic and Nalbandian might get the odd win against FedEx, however Roger just doesn’t lose in big matches.

How long will Federer stay interested for? Three years? Four years? Until he wins the French? Roger only won his first major in 2003. Not really long enough to get bored. Give the man three majors a year, for the next four. Knock off a couple for injury and luck. Assume the French curse isn’t broken.

That’s what? Roughly 22.

Tiger? Harder question.

It’s far easier to win a golf major than a tennis major. For the run of the mill. The tennis equivalents of Ben Curtis, Todd Hamilton, Michael Campbell and Rich Beem just don’t upset the big boys on the court. Far easier to beat seven guys, all infront of you, than 150 players who are playing the course.

Flukes will continue to upset the golfing apple cart.

Since the unmatched run at the turn of the century, Tiger has won seven big ones in six years. Pretty good strike rate. His last six majors have brought three wins and two 2nds, so not exactly out of touch.

But here’s the one indefinable: Who is the next big thing? It’s safe to assume that there wont be a tennis wunderkind in the next three or four years. We would have seen him by now. If Tiger Woods is going to take a good ten to fifteen years to get to Roger, how can we be certain a new Tiger will emerge? Unlikely, but we can’t be sure. Tiger now wins about one a year and this is when he’s clearly the best in the sport. It’s not hard to go winless for a stretch of two or three, while still playing top notch.

Tiger might be the favourite, but it ain’t a sure thing.

A better bet? In twenty years when Tiger and Roger are put together in a Gillette commercial, Thierry Henry will probably be at home watching it on television.

 

 

Read more at www.theserve.com.au

 

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